Recently the Dutch State Secretary for
Finance wrote a letter to parliament containing plans on clean
vehicle stimulation for the period 2017-2020. His letter offers great
potential for FCV (fuel cell vehicle) sales in the Netherlands. The
Netherlands have the lowest average emissions for new vehicles sold
in all of Europe thanks to generous stimulation for clean vehicles.
Specifically fiscal stimulation is high for lease cars, which has led
to plug-in hybrid vehicles becoming the most popular lease cars.
This stimulation will remain intact for fully electric vehicles
(FEVs) and FCVs, but the stimulation for plug-in hybrid vehicles will
be phased out between now and 2019. This will lead to increased
demand for FEVs and FCVs.
Starting 2019 however the stimulation
for FEVs will only be applied to a sales value upto € 50.000. That
will likely lead to a shift from FEVs to FCVs. Luxury FEV
manufacturers (current FEV market leader is Tesla) would be wise to
offer their models with a FC range extender.
If most of the current luxury FEV sales
shift to FCVs in 2019, FCV sales could grow exponentially. A rough
estimate of FCV sales:
2013 0
2014 2
2015 10
2016 30
2017 100
2018 300
2019 1.000
2020 1.500
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